![]() ![]() "Even if the situation is more equal in numbers, that isn't how it works," said Michel. The change in the balance of heavy arms is important, but far from decisive for Ukraine's ongoing counteroffensive, according to Michel. The same, though, can't be said for Russia, which also has to reserve a portion of its forces for defenses elsewhere across the world's largest country. There have since been both more losses, deliveries and seizures of Russian tanks. Michel conducted his own analysis of the available data earlier this year, adjusting for likely biases in the data. Ukraine did, however, seem to come through the first year of the war with roughly the same number of heavy weapons it had at the start, despite heavy losses, according to Yohann Michel, a land warfare specialist at the IISS. There are also no reliable figures for the number of replacement tanks or artillery pieces Russia has either produced or pulled from deep storage since the start of the war. There are huge uncertainties around such figures, with both sides treating their losses as state secrets and significant difficulties in open-source collection - especially when it comes to Ukrainian losses, which are less well recorded. Moscow began with 3,417 tanks available, according to the Military Balance, an annual compendium of world armories published by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a London-based think tank. According to Oryx, which records only losses it can confirm, 2,082 Russian tanks have been destroyed, damaged, abandoned or captured since the start of the war in 2022. ![]()
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